Prediction: Brest vs PSG
See it on the live radar ↗- PSG1-0Brest
- Brest0-3PSG
- PSG7-0Brest
- Brest0-3PSG
- Brest2-5PSG
- PSG3-1Brest
| Brest | Draw | PSG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 7% | 14% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG (rating 1450 vs 1540).
- H2H favours PSG: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brest | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 3.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest 0–0–6 PSG
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brest |
| 25/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 0-3 HT 0-2 | PSG |
| 19/02/25 UEFA Champions League | PSG | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Brest |
| 11/02/25 UEFA Champions League | Brest | 0-3 HT 0-2 | PSG |
| 01/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-5 HT 0-1 | PSG |
| 14/09/24 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Brest |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brest | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Angers | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Paris FC | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Lens | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Nantes | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PSG (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
PSG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brest vs PSG?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PSG win (79%). Probabilities: Brest 7%, draw 14%, PSG 79%.
How many goals are expected in Brest vs PSG?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Brest 0.76 · PSG 2.76), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brest vs PSG?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.