Prediction: Rennes vs Marseille
Team pages: Rennes · Marseille
- Marseille3-1Rennes
- Marseille3-0Rennes
- Rennes1-0Marseille
- Marseille4-2Rennes
- Rennes1-2Marseille
- Rennes2-0Marseille
| Rennes | Draw | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Marseille: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rennes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.8 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rennes 2–0–4 Marseille
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Rennes |
| 03/02/26 France Cup | Marseille | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Rennes |
| 15/08/25 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marseille |
| 17/05/25 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Rennes |
| 11/01/25 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Marseille |
| 17/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Marseille |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rennes | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Strasbourg | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Metz | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Lille | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Marseille (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/03 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Marseille
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rennes vs Marseille?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rennes win (39%). Probabilities: Rennes 39%, draw 25%, Marseille 35%.
How many goals are expected in Rennes vs Marseille?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Rennes 1.66 · Marseille 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Marseille?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.