Prediction: Strasbourg vs Monaco
Team pages: Strasbourg · Monaco
- Strasbourg5-4Monaco
- Strasbourg3-1Monaco
- Monaco3-2Strasbourg
- Monaco0-0Strasbourg
- Strasbourg1-3Monaco
- Strasbourg0-1Monaco
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaco (rating 1464 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Monaco: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strasbourg | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg 2–1–3 Monaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 5-4 HT 1-3 | Monaco |
| 05/02/26 France Cup | Strasbourg | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Monaco |
| 31/08/25 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Strasbourg |
| 19/04/25 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Strasbourg |
| 09/11/24 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Monaco |
| 10/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Monaco |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Rennes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strasbourg | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Toulouse | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaco (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strasbourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 5-4 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
Monaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strasbourg vs Monaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monaco win (45%). Probabilities: Strasbourg 31%, draw 24%, Monaco 45%.
How many goals are expected in Strasbourg vs Monaco?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Strasbourg 1.7 · Monaco 2.04), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Monaco?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.