Prediction: Angers vs Marseille
Team pages: Angers · Marseille
- Angers2-5Marseille
- Marseille2-2Angers
- Angers0-2Marseille
- Marseille1-1Angers
- Marseille3-1Angers
- Angers0-3Marseille
| Angers | Draw | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 25% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Marseille: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Angers | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Angers 0–2–4 Marseille
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 2-5 HT 1-4 | Marseille |
| 29/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Angers |
| 09/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Marseille |
| 04/10/24 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Angers |
| 14/05/23 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Angers |
| 30/09/22 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Marseille |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | PSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Angers | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Le Havre | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Rennes | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Strasbourg | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| PSG | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Marseille (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Angers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Marseille
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Angers vs Marseille?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Marseille win (47%). Probabilities: Angers 28%, draw 25%, Marseille 47%.
How many goals are expected in Angers vs Marseille?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Angers 1.42 · Marseille 1.88), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Angers vs Marseille?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.