Prediction: Lens vs Paris FC
- Paris FC0-5Lens
- Lens2-1Paris FC
- Lens0-0Paris FC
- Paris FC0-2Lens
- Lens2-1Paris FC
- Paris FC1-1Lens
| Lens | Draw | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lens: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lens | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.8 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lens 4–2–0 Paris FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Lens |
| 19/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Paris FC |
| 02/07/22 Europe Friendlies | Lens | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 02/03/20 France Ligue 2 | Paris FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lens |
| 28/09/19 France Ligue 2 | Lens | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Paris FC |
| 21/05/19 France Ligue 2 Play-Offs | Paris FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lens |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lens | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Lyon | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Lorient | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Strasbourg | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| PSG | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lens vs Paris FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lens win (39%). Probabilities: Lens 39%, draw 26%, Paris FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in Lens vs Paris FC?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Lens 1.7 · Paris FC 1.58), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lens vs Paris FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

