Prediction: Rennes vs Strasbourg
Team pages: Rennes · Strasbourg
- Strasbourg0-3Rennes
- Rennes4-1Strasbourg
- Rennes1-0Strasbourg
- Strasbourg3-1Rennes
- Strasbourg2-0Rennes
- Rennes1-1Strasbourg
| Rennes | Draw | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | 55% | 21% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rennes (rating 1541 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Rennes: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rennes | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.1 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.1 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rennes 3–1–2 Strasbourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Rennes |
| 02/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Strasbourg |
| 02/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Strasbourg |
| 25/08/24 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Rennes |
| 31/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rennes |
| 29/10/23 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Strasbourg |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rennes | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Marseille | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Angers | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rennes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Strasbourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 5-4 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rennes win (55%). Probabilities: Rennes 55%, draw 21%, Strasbourg 24%.
How many goals are expected in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Rennes 2.31 · Strasbourg 1.5), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.