Football · France Ligue 1 · 25/10, 17:15

Prediction: Angers vs Lorient

Team pages: Angers · Lorient

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Angers1.28
Lorient1.5
1X2
31% 28% 41%
Angers Draw Lorient
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Angers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLWLDWLL
Lorient 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDLWDLWW
Head-to-head
Angers 3–1–2 Lorient (6 last)
  • Angers2-1Lorient
  • Lorient2-0Angers
  • Angers2-0Lorient
  • Angers1-0Lorient
  • Angers1-2Lorient
  • Lorient0-0Angers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angers 1459 · Lorient 1509
AngersDrawLorient
Our model31%28%41%
Market31%29%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorient (rating 1459 vs 1509).
  • H2H favours Angers: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AngersLorient
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 21.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.30.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.41.2 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.23.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angers 3–1–2 Lorient

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/08/26
Elite Club Friendlies
Angers2-1
HT 2-0
Lorient
15/02/26
France Ligue 1
Lorient2-0
HT 1-0
Angers
26/10/25
France Ligue 1
Angers2-0
HT 1-0
Lorient
09/08/25
Elite Club Friendlies
Angers1-0
HT 0-0
Lorient
03/08/24
Europe Friendlies
Angers1-2
HT 1-1
Lorient
05/02/23
France Ligue 1
Lorient0-0
HT 0-0
Angers

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon 7421 13514
2 PSG 7421 14914
3 Paris FC 7421 12714
4 Lille 7421 10514
5 Monaco 7421 10614
6 Rennes 7412 151413
7 Lorient 7322 7611
8 Lens 7313 141110
9 Marseille 7304 14109
10 Brest 7232 13109
11 Toulouse 7232 12119
12 Auxerre 7304 11179
13 Nice 7223 698
14 Strasbourg 7214 12157
15 Angers 7214 9157
16 Le Mans 7133 10156
17 Troyes 7115 5164
18 Le Havre 7025 5112

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAngersLorient
Troyes 2-0 W 1-2 L
Le Havre 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Angers (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angers

LDDLWLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Marseille
France Ligue 1
1-2 2-5 22 L
10/10 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-4 1-5 53 L
19/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
12/09 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
06/09 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-2 122 L
29/08 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 3-1 105 W
23/08 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-2 84 L
17/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 32 D
10/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-1 04 D
03/05 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-3 66 L

Lorient

DWLDLWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
10/10 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 35 W
19/09 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 36 L
12/09 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
2-0 2-2 41 D
05/09 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 05 W
29/08 Troyes
France Ligue 1
0-2 1-2 20 L
22/08 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 31 D
17/05 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 53 L
10/05 Metz
France Ligue 1
1-0 4-0 44 W
02/05 PSG
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-2 22 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angers vs Lorient?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lorient win (41%). Probabilities: Angers 31%, draw 28%, Lorient 41%.

How many goals are expected in Angers vs Lorient?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Angers 1.28 · Lorient 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Angers vs Lorient?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.