Prediction: Marseille vs Le Havre
Team pages: Marseille · Le Havre
- Le Havre0-1Marseille
- Marseille6-2Le Havre
- Le Havre1-3Marseille
- Marseille5-1Le Havre
- Le Havre1-2Marseille
- Marseille3-0Le Havre
| Marseille | Draw | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marseille (rating 1489 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Marseille: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marseille | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marseille 6–0–0 Le Havre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Marseille |
| 18/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 6-2 HT 1-1 | Le Havre |
| 10/05/25 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Marseille |
| 05/01/25 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Le Havre |
| 19/05/24 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Marseille |
| 08/10/23 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Le Havre |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marseille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Angers | 5-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Monaco | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marseille
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
Le Havre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marseille vs Le Havre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marseille win (60%). Probabilities: Marseille 60%, draw 23%, Le Havre 16%.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Le Havre?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Marseille 1.87 · Le Havre 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Le Havre?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.