Football · France Ligue 1 · 18/10, 17:15

Prediction: Le Havre vs Auxerre

Team pages: Le Havre · Auxerre

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Le Havre1.49
Auxerre1.24
1X2
42% 27% 30%
Le Havre Draw Auxerre
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Le Havre 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDLWLDLDLL
Auxerre 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLLWWL
Head-to-head
Le Havre 4–1–1 Auxerre (6 last)
  • Le Havre1-1Auxerre
  • Auxerre0-1Le Havre
  • Auxerre1-2Le Havre
  • Le Havre3-1Auxerre
  • Le Havre1-2Auxerre
  • Auxerre2-3Le Havre
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Le Havre 1462 · Auxerre 1501
Le HavreDrawAuxerre
Our model42%28%30%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Le Havre: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Le HavreAuxerre
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.82.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre 4–1–1 Auxerre

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
France Ligue 1
Le Havre1-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre
26/10/25
France Ligue 1
Auxerre0-1
HT 0-0
Le Havre
04/05/25
France Ligue 1
Auxerre1-2
HT 0-0
Le Havre
01/09/24
France Ligue 1
Le Havre3-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre
07/05/22
France Ligue 2
Le Havre1-2
HT 1-0
Auxerre
21/12/21
France Ligue 2
Auxerre2-3
HT 1-2
Le Havre

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaco 6420 10514
2 Lille 6411 9413
3 Rennes 6411 121013
4 Lyon 6321 11411
5 Paris FC 6321 8411
6 PSG 6321 11811
7 Toulouse 7232 12119
8 Brest 6222 1298
9 Lorient 6222 668
10 Nice 6222 578
11 Lens 6213 11107
12 Strasbourg 6213 11127
13 Angers 6213 7107
14 Marseille 6204 986
15 Le Mans 7133 10156
16 Auxerre 6204 8166
17 Troyes 6114 4134
18 Le Havre 6024 482

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLe HavreAuxerre
Lille 0-1 L 2-0 W
Angers 0-0 D 1-3 L
Brest 1-2 L 2-1 W
Lyon 1-1 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Le Havre

DDLWLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-1 55 L
19/09 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
0-0 2-3 74 L
12/09 Angers
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 42 D
05/09 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 53 L
29/08 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 52 D
23/08 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-1 75 L
17/05 Lorient
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 13 W
10/05 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 36 L
03/05 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-1 55 D
26/04 Metz
France Ligue 1
2-2 4-4 64 D

Auxerre

LWWWLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-4 54 L
20/09 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-1 82 W
12/09 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 32 W
04/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-3 54 L
29/08 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-3 75 L
22/08 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-5 73 L
17/05 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
10/05 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 101 W
03/05 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-1 46 W
25/04 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-3 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Le Havre vs Auxerre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Havre win (42%). Probabilities: Le Havre 42%, draw 27%, Auxerre 30%.

How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Auxerre?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Le Havre 1.49 · Auxerre 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Auxerre?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.