Prediction: Lorient vs Monaco
- Monaco1-3Lorient
- Lorient3-1Monaco
- Monaco2-2Lorient
- Lorient2-2Monaco
- Monaco3-1Lorient
- Lorient2-2Monaco
| Lorient | Draw | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaco (rating 1506 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Lorient: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lorient | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorient 2–3–1 Monaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Lorient |
| 27/09/25 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Monaco |
| 17/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Lorient |
| 17/09/23 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Monaco |
| 16/04/23 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Lorient |
| 11/01/23 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Monaco |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | PSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lorient | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Lens | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Le Havre | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Metz | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| PSG | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Strasbourg | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaco (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Monaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorient vs Monaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monaco win (47%). Probabilities: Lorient 27%, draw 27%, Monaco 47%.
How many goals are expected in Lorient vs Monaco?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Lorient 1.26 · Monaco 1.71), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Monaco?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.