Prediction: Lyon vs Nice
- Lyon2-0Nice
- Nice3-2Lyon
- Nice0-2Lyon
- Lyon4-1Nice
- Lyon1-0Nice
- Nice0-0Lyon
| Lyon | Draw | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyon (rating 1542 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Lyon: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lyon | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyon 4–1–1 Nice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nice |
| 18/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Nice | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Lyon |
| 09/03/25 France Ligue 1 | Nice | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
| 01/12/24 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Nice |
| 16/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nice |
| 27/08/23 France Ligue 1 | Nice | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 13 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lyon | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Paris FC | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Auxerre | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lyon (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 20 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
Nice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lyon vs Nice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyon win (57%). Probabilities: Lyon 57%, draw 25%, Nice 18%.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Nice?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Lyon 1.72 · Nice 0.86), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lyon vs Nice?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.