Football · France Ligue 1 · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Strasbourg vs Auxerre

Team pages: Strasbourg · Auxerre

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Strasbourg2.05
Auxerre1.34
1X2
53% 24% 24%
Strasbourg Draw Auxerre
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Strasbourg 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDLLLL
Auxerre 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWWLWD
Head-to-head
Strasbourg 4–1–1 Auxerre (6 last)
  • Auxerre0-0Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg3-0Auxerre
  • Auxerre0-1Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg3-1Auxerre
  • Strasbourg2-0Auxerre
  • Auxerre1-0Strasbourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strasbourg 1479 · Auxerre 1509
StrasbourgDrawAuxerre
Our model53%23%24%
Market52%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Strasbourg: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StrasbourgAuxerre
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.31.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.72.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg 4–1–1 Auxerre

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
France Ligue 1
Auxerre0-0
HT 0-0
Strasbourg
29/10/25
France Ligue 1
Strasbourg3-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
02/03/25
France Ligue 1
Auxerre0-1
HT 0-0
Strasbourg
05/01/25
France Ligue 1
Strasbourg3-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre
19/03/23
France Ligue 1
Strasbourg2-0
HT 1-0
Auxerre
27/08/22
France Ligue 1
Auxerre1-0
HT 1-0
Strasbourg

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSG 8521 16917
2 Rennes 8512 181416
3 Lille 8431 11615
4 Monaco 8431 11715
5 Lyon 8422 13714
6 Paris FC 8422 13914
7 Lens 8413 161213
8 Marseille 8404 181312
9 Lorient 8332 7612
10 Nice 8323 81011
11 Toulouse 8242 121110
12 Auxerre 8314 121810
13 Brest 8233 14129
14 Angers 8224 9158
15 Le Mans 8143 11167
16 Strasbourg 8215 12187
17 Troyes 8125 5165
18 Le Havre 8026 8152

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStrasbourgAuxerre
Rennes 0-3 L 1-4 L
Nice 1-2 L 1-0 W
Lens 2-1 W 2-5 L
Brest 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strasbourg

WWLWWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Rennes
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-3 44 L
17/10 PSG
France Ligue 1
1-0 1-3 32 L
11/10 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-2 32 L
19/09 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 05 L
12/09 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 22 D
06/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
2-1 6-2 02 W
29/08 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-1 34 W
21/08 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-4 44 L
17/05 Monaco
France Ligue 1
1-3 5-4 43 W
13/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
2-1 2-1 41 W

Auxerre

WWLLLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 73 D
18/10 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-1 43 W
11/10 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-4 54 L
20/09 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-1 82 W
12/09 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 32 W
04/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-3 54 L
29/08 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-3 75 L
22/08 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-5 73 L
17/05 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
10/05 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 101 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Strasbourg win (53%). Probabilities: Strasbourg 53%, draw 24%, Auxerre 24%.

How many goals are expected in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Strasbourg 2.05 · Auxerre 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.