Prediction: Lille vs Lens
- Lille3-0Lens
- Lens3-0Lille
- Lille1-0Lens
- Lens0-2Lille
- Lille2-1Lens
- Lens1-1Lille
| Lille | Draw | Lens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lille: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 3.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lille 4–1–1 Lens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lens |
| 20/09/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Lille |
| 30/03/25 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lens |
| 26/10/24 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lille |
| 29/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lens |
| 08/10/23 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lille |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lille | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| PSG | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Auxerre | 0-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Monaco | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lille (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lille
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
Lens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lille vs Lens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lille win (42%). Probabilities: Lille 42%, draw 27%, Lens 32%.
How many goals are expected in Lille vs Lens?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Lille 1.46 · Lens 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Lens?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.