Prediction: Lyon vs Angers
- Angers0-0Lyon
- Lyon1-0Angers
- Lyon2-0Angers
- Angers0-3Lyon
- Angers1-3Lyon
- Lyon5-0Angers
| Lyon | Draw | Angers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyon (rating 1527 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Lyon: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lyon | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.5 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyon 5–1–0 Angers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
| 19/09/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Angers |
| 17/05/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Angers |
| 07/12/24 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 25/02/23 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 03/09/22 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Angers |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lyon | Angers |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Auxerre | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Le Havre | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lyon (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 20 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
Angers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lyon vs Angers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyon win (67%). Probabilities: Lyon 67%, draw 19%, Angers 14%.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Angers?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Lyon 2.24 · Angers 0.94), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lyon vs Angers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.