Prediction: Paris FC vs Monaco
- Paris FC4-1Monaco
- Monaco0-1Paris FC
- Paris FC0-0Monaco
| Paris FC | Draw | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Paris FC: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paris FC | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC 2–1–0 Monaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Monaco |
| 01/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 18/07/15 Club Friendly List | Paris FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Monaco |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paris FC | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Lorient | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Strasbourg | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Marseille | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| PSG | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaco (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Monaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paris FC vs Monaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris FC win (42%). Probabilities: Paris FC 42%, draw 27%, Monaco 31%.
How many goals are expected in Paris FC vs Monaco?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Paris FC 1.55 · Monaco 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Monaco?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.