BetsTalentBetsTalent
ES EN
Log in Sign up Telegram
Football · France Ligue 1 · 31/10, 20:45

Prediction: Lorient vs Brest

Team pages: Lorient · Brest

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Lorient1.34
Brest1.34
1X2
36% 29% 36%
Lorient Draw Brest
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lorient 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDLWDLWW
Brest 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDDDWLLWDL
Head-to-head
Lorient 1–2–3 Brest (6 last)
  • Brest2-0Lorient
  • Lorient3-3Brest
  • Lorient1-1Brest
  • Lorient0-1Brest
  • Brest4-0Lorient
  • Lorient2-1Brest
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorient 1502 · Brest 1466
LorientDrawBrest
Our model36%28%36%
Market36%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Brest: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LorientBrest
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.51.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.92.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.13 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorient 1–2–3 Brest

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
France Ligue 1
Brest2-0
HT 0-0
Lorient
19/10/25
France Ligue 1
Lorient3-3
HT 1-2
Brest
20/07/24
Europe Friendlies
Lorient1-1
HT 0-1
Brest
31/03/24
France Ligue 1
Lorient0-1
HT 0-0
Brest
20/12/23
France Ligue 1
Brest4-0
HT 4-0
Lorient
07/05/23
France Ligue 1
Lorient2-1
HT 1-0
Brest

Standings · France Ligue 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lyon 7421 13514
2 PSG 7421 14914
3 Paris FC 7421 12714
4 Lille 7421 10514
5 Monaco 7421 10614
6 Rennes 7412 151413
7 Lorient 7322 7611
8 Nice 8323 81011
9 Lens 7313 141110
10 Marseille 7304 14109
11 Brest 8233 14129
12 Toulouse 7232 12119
13 Auxerre 7304 11179
14 Strasbourg 7214 12157
15 Angers 7214 9157
16 Le Mans 7133 10156
17 Troyes 7115 5164
18 Le Havre 7025 5112

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLorientBrest
Le Mans 1-2 L 2-2 D
Toulouse 2-2 D 2-2 D
Nice 0-0 D 1-2 L
Le Havre 0-2 L 2-1 W
PSG 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorient

DWLDLWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Monaco
France Ligue 1
 0-0 1-0 36 W
10/10 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
 0-0 1-0 35 W
19/09 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
 0-1 1-2 36 L
12/09 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
 2-0 2-2 41 D
05/09 Lens
France Ligue 1
 0-0 1-0 05 W
29/08 Troyes
France Ligue 1
 0-2 1-2 20 L
22/08 Nice
France Ligue 1
 0-0 0-0 31 D
17/05 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
 0-1 0-2 53 L
10/05 Metz
France Ligue 1
 1-0 4-0 44 W
02/05 PSG
France Ligue 1
 1-1 2-2 22 D

Brest

LDDDWLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Nice
France Ligue 1
 1-0 1-2 38 L
17/10 Lille
France Ligue 1
 1-0 1-1 23 D
10/10 Angers
France Ligue 1
 4-0 5-1 43 W
20/09 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
 1-0 1-2 32 L
13/09 PSG
France Ligue 1
 0-1 0-1 33 L
05/09 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
 1-0 2-1 53 W
29/08 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
 1-1 2-2 75 D
22/08 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
 1-1 2-2 102 D
17/05 Angers
France Ligue 1
 0-0 1-1 62 D
13/05 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
 1-2 1-2 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorient vs Brest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lorient win (36%). Probabilities: Lorient 36%, draw 29%, Brest 36%.

How many goals are expected in Lorient vs Brest?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Lorient 1.34 · Brest 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lorient vs Brest?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.