Football · France Ligue 1 · 08/11, 17:15

Prediction: Angers vs Nice

Team pages: Angers · Nice

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Angers1.07
Nice1.48
1X2
27% 27% 46%
Angers Draw Nice
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Angers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLDWLLDL
Nice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Angers 2–1–3 Nice (6 last)
  • Angers0-2Nice
  • Nice0-1Angers
  • Nice2-1Angers
  • Angers1-4Nice
  • Angers1-1Nice
  • Nice0-1Angers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angers 1460 · Nice 1521
AngersDrawNice
Our model26%28%45%
Market27%26%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nice (rating 1460 vs 1521).
  • H2H favours Nice: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AngersNice
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.81.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.20.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.72.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.13.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angers 2–1–3 Nice

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
France Ligue 1
Angers0-2
HT 0-0
Nice
07/12/25
France Ligue 1
Nice0-1
HT 0-1
Angers
20/04/25
France Ligue 1
Nice2-1
HT 1-0
Angers
01/09/24
France Ligue 1
Angers1-4
HT 0-2
Nice
02/04/23
France Ligue 1
Angers1-1
HT 1-1
Nice
18/09/22
France Ligue 1
Nice0-1
HT 0-1
Angers

Standings · France Ligue 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSG 10721 221023
2 Paris FC 10622 171020
3 Lille 9531 12618
4 Lyon 9522 15717
5 Rennes 9513 201916
6 Marseille 9504 201315
7 Monaco 9432 121015
8 Nice 9423 131214
9 Lens 9414 161313
10 Toulouse 10343 151413
11 Brest 9333 161212
12 Lorient 9333 7812
13 Strasbourg 10316 182210
14 Auxerre 10316 132410
15 Angers 9225 9178
16 Troyes 10226 7178
17 Le Mans 9144 11187
18 Le Havre 9027 9202

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAngersNice
Lyon 0-2 L 1-2 L
Lorient 0-0 D 0-0 D
Brest 1-5 L 2-1 W
Rennes 1-2 L 5-2 W
Auxerre 3-1 W 0-1 L
Lille 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nice (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angers

DLWLDWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 31 L
25/10 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
18/10 Marseille
France Ligue 1
1-2 2-5 22 L
10/10 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-4 1-5 53 L
19/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
12/09 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
06/09 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-2 122 L
29/08 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 3-1 105 W
23/08 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-2 84 L
17/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 32 D

Nice

DDLDLWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Rennes
France Ligue 1
3-1 5-2 47 W
23/10 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-1 2-1 78 W
18/10 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-2 95 L
11/10 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 22 W
20/09 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-1 34 W
12/09 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 82 L
05/09 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-1 54 D
30/08 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-3 41 L
22/08 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 91 D
17/05 Metz
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 103 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angers vs Nice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nice win (46%). Probabilities: Angers 27%, draw 27%, Nice 46%.

How many goals are expected in Angers vs Nice?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Angers 1.07 · Nice 1.48), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Angers vs Nice?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.