Prediction: Brest vs Lyon
- Lyon2-1Brest
- Brest0-0Lyon
- Lyon2-1Brest
- Brest2-1Lyon
- Lyon4-3Brest
- Brest1-0Lyon
| Brest | Draw | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyon (rating 1497 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Lyon: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brest | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest 2–1–3 Lyon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Brest |
| 02/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
| 02/03/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Brest |
| 11/01/25 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Lyon |
| 14/04/24 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 4-3 HT 1-0 | Brest |
| 23/09/23 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Brest | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brest | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Angers | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Auxerre | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| PSG | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Le Havre | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Toulouse | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/10 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 20 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brest vs Lyon?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lyon win (38%). Probabilities: Brest 34%, draw 28%, Lyon 38%.
How many goals are expected in Brest vs Lyon?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Brest 1.38 · Lyon 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brest vs Lyon?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.