Prediction: Auxerre vs Paris FC
Team pages: Auxerre · Paris FC
- Auxerre0-0Paris FC
- Paris FC1-1Auxerre
- Auxerre2-0Paris FC
- Paris FC0-2Auxerre
- Auxerre1-2Paris FC
- Paris FC1-1Auxerre
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Auxerre: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Auxerre | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Auxerre 2–3–1 Paris FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 29/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Auxerre |
| 04/05/24 France Ligue 2 | Auxerre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Paris FC |
| 07/10/23 France Ligue 2 | Paris FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Auxerre |
| 01/02/22 France Ligue 2 | Auxerre | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Paris FC |
| 16/08/21 France Ligue 2 | Paris FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Auxerre |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 16 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 8 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Auxerre | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 1-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Nice | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Lyon | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Lens | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Auxerre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Paris FC win (52%). Probabilities: Auxerre 23%, draw 25%, Paris FC 52%.
How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Auxerre 1.21 · Paris FC 1.87), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.