Football · France Ligue 1 · 08/11, 17:15

Prediction: Le Havre vs Lorient

Team pages: Le Havre · Lorient

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Le Havre1.14
Lorient1.25
1X2
33% 29% 38%
Le Havre Draw Lorient
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Le Havre 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
WLDLDLLLLL
Lorient 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWDLWWDL
Head-to-head
Le Havre 2–3–1 Lorient (6 last)
  • Lorient0-2Le Havre
  • Le Havre1-1Lorient
  • Lorient3-3Le Havre
  • Le Havre3-0Lorient
  • Lorient2-0Le Havre
  • Le Havre2-2Lorient
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Le Havre 1436 · Lorient 1473
Le HavreDrawLorient
Our model32%30%37%
Market33%29%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Le Havre: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Le HavreLorient
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 20.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.91.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.23 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre 2–3–1 Lorient

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
France Ligue 1
Lorient0-2
HT 0-1
Le Havre
21/09/25
France Ligue 1
Le Havre1-1
HT 0-1
Lorient
28/01/24
France Ligue 1
Lorient3-3
HT 1-1
Le Havre
03/09/23
France Ligue 1
Le Havre3-0
HT 0-0
Lorient
29/07/23
Europe Friendlies
Lorient2-0
HT 0-0
Le Havre
19/10/19
France Ligue 2
Le Havre2-2
HT 1-2
Lorient

Standings · France Ligue 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSG 9621 211020
2 Lille 9531 12618
3 Lyon 9522 15717
4 Paris FC 9522 161017
5 Rennes 9513 201916
6 Marseille 9504 201315
7 Monaco 9432 121015
8 Nice 9423 131214
9 Lens 9414 161313
10 Toulouse 10343 151413
11 Brest 9333 161212
12 Lorient 9333 7812
13 Strasbourg 10316 182210
14 Auxerre 9315 132310
15 Angers 9225 9178
16 Troyes 9225 7168
17 Le Mans 9144 11187
18 Le Havre 9027 9202

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLe HavreLorient
Toulouse 2-3 L 2-2 D
Angers 0-0 D 0-0 D
Brest 1-2 L 0-2 L
Monaco 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lorient (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Le Havre

WLDLDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 PSG
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-5 50 L
25/10 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-2 3-4 34 L
18/10 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-3 73 L
10/10 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-1 55 L
19/09 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
0-0 2-3 74 L
12/09 Angers
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 42 D
05/09 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 53 L
29/08 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 52 D
23/08 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-1 75 L
17/05 Lorient
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 13 W

Lorient

LDLWDLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-2 82 L
25/10 Angers
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 72 D
18/10 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 36 W
10/10 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 35 W
19/09 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 36 L
12/09 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
2-0 2-2 41 D
05/09 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 05 W
29/08 Troyes
France Ligue 1
0-2 1-2 20 L
22/08 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 31 D
17/05 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Le Havre vs Lorient?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lorient win (38%). Probabilities: Le Havre 33%, draw 29%, Lorient 38%.

How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Lorient?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Le Havre 1.14 · Lorient 1.25), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Lorient?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.