Football · France Ligue 1 · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Rennes vs Lille

Team pages: Rennes · Lille

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Rennes1.65
Lille1.3
1X2
45% 26% 29%
Rennes Draw Lille
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Rennes 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLWLWL
Lille 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLWDDW
Head-to-head
Rennes 1–2–3 Lille (6 last)
  • Rennes1-2Lille
  • Lille0-2Rennes
  • Rennes0-2Lille
  • Lille1-0Rennes
  • Lille2-2Rennes
  • Rennes2-2Lille
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rennes 1520 · Lille 1498
RennesDrawLille
Our model45%26%29%
Market45%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lille: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RennesLille
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 2.11.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.20.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.91.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rennes 1–2–3 Lille

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
France Ligue 1
Rennes1-2
HT 0-1
Lille
03/01/26
France Ligue 1
Lille0-2
HT 0-0
Rennes
16/02/25
France Ligue 1
Rennes0-2
HT 0-0
Lille
24/11/24
France Ligue 1
Lille1-0
HT 1-0
Rennes
10/03/24
France Ligue 1
Lille2-2
HT 0-2
Rennes
16/09/23
France Ligue 1
Rennes2-2
HT 0-1
Lille

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSG 9621 211020
2 Lille 9531 12618
3 Lyon 9522 15717
4 Paris FC 9522 161017
5 Rennes 9513 201916
6 Marseille 9504 201315
7 Monaco 9432 121015
8 Nice 9423 131214
9 Lens 9414 161313
10 Brest 9333 161212
11 Lorient 9333 7812
12 Toulouse 9243 121310
13 Strasbourg 9315 171910
14 Auxerre 9315 132310
15 Angers 9225 9178
16 Troyes 9225 7168
17 Le Mans 9144 11187
18 Le Havre 9027 9202

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRennesLille
Nice 2-5 L 1-2 L
Auxerre 4-1 W 0-2 L
Angers 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lille (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rennes

WLWWWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-3 2-5 77 L
25/10 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
2-0 3-0 24 W
18/10 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
1-2 3-4 46 L
11/10 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 4-1 124 W
19/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-4 86 L
11/09 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 35 W
06/09 Angers
France Ligue 1
2-1 2-1 62 W
30/08 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
2-1 3-2 86 W
17/05 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-2 1-3 114 L
10/05 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-0 2-1 82 W

Lille

LWDWWLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 101 W
25/10 Monaco
France Ligue 1
1-0 1-1 18 D
17/10 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-1 53 D
10/10 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
1-0 1-0 45 W
20/09 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 74 L
13/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 21 W
03/09 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 21 W
28/08 PSG
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-2 03 D
23/08 Angers
France Ligue 1
2-0 2-0 34 W
17/05 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rennes vs Lille?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rennes win (45%). Probabilities: Rennes 45%, draw 26%, Lille 29%.

How many goals are expected in Rennes vs Lille?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Rennes 1.65 · Lille 1.3), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rennes vs Lille?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.