Prediction: Nice vs Rennes
- Nice0-4Rennes
- Rennes1-2Nice
- Rennes2-0Nice
- Nice3-2Rennes
- Rennes2-0Nice
- Nice2-0Rennes
| Nice | Draw | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rennes (rating 1492 vs 1544).
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nice | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.8 | 3.2 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nice 3–0–3 Rennes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Nice | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Rennes |
| 26/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Nice |
| 10/05/25 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nice |
| 03/01/25 France Ligue 1 | Nice | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Rennes |
| 13/01/24 France Ligue 1 | Rennes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nice |
| 05/11/23 France Ligue 1 | Nice | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rennes |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nice | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Auxerre | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Le Mans | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Paris FC | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rennes (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Rennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nice vs Rennes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rennes win (39%). Probabilities: Nice 34%, draw 26%, Rennes 39%.
How many goals are expected in Nice vs Rennes?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Nice 1.35 · Rennes 1.46), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Rennes?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.