Prediction: Paris FC vs Lyon
- Lyon1-1Paris FC
- Paris FC3-3Lyon
| Paris FC | Draw | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paris FC | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 4.2 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC 0–2–0 Lyon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 29/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Lyon |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Rennes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paris FC | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| PSG | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Rennes | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Lorient | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Le Havre | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lyon (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 20 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paris FC vs Lyon?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lyon win (37%). Probabilities: Paris FC 36%, draw 27%, Lyon 37%.
How many goals are expected in Paris FC vs Lyon?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Paris FC 1.53 · Lyon 1.57), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Lyon?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.