Football · France Ligue 1 · 18/10, 17:15

Prediction: Paris FC vs Rennes

Team pages: Paris FC · Rennes

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Paris FC1.53
Rennes1.3
1X2
42% 27% 31%
Paris FC Draw Rennes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Paris FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWDWWDWL
Rennes 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Paris FC 0–2 Rennes (2 last)
  • Rennes2-1Paris FC
  • Paris FC0-1Rennes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paris FC 1497 · Rennes 1531
Paris FCDrawRennes
Our model42%27%31%
Market42%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rennes: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paris FCRennes
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.82 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.33.5 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC 0–0–2 Rennes

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
France Ligue 1
Rennes2-1
HT 0-0
Paris FC
07/11/25
France Ligue 1
Paris FC0-1
HT 0-0
Rennes

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaco 6420 10514
2 Lille 6411 9413
3 Rennes 6411 121013
4 Lyon 6321 11411
5 Paris FC 6321 8411
6 PSG 6321 11811
7 Toulouse 7232 12119
8 Brest 6222 1298
9 Lorient 6222 668
10 Nice 6222 578
11 Lens 6213 11107
12 Strasbourg 6213 11127
13 Angers 6213 7107
14 Marseille 6204 986
15 Le Mans 7133 10156
16 Auxerre 6204 8166
17 Troyes 6114 4134
18 Le Havre 6024 482

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParis FCRennes
Strasbourg 2-1 W 3-0 W
Lyon 0-0 D 0-4 L
Marseille 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paris FC

LWLWDWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 95 L
19/09 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-1 35 W
12/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
06/09 Marseille
France Ligue 1
2-1 3-2 42 W
30/08 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-0 21 W
22/08 Troyes
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 23 D
17/05 PSG
France Ligue 1
0-0 2-1 32 W
10/05 Rennes
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-2 22 L
03/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
2-0 4-0 73 W
26/04 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-1 79 L

Rennes

WWLWLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 4-1 124 W
19/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-4 86 L
11/09 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 35 W
06/09 Angers
France Ligue 1
2-1 2-1 62 W
30/08 Le Mans
France Ligue 1
2-1 3-2 86 W
17/05 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-2 1-3 114 L
10/05 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-0 2-1 82 W
03/05 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-2 2-4 53 L
26/04 Nantes
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 65 W
19/04 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-0 91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paris FC vs Rennes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris FC win (42%). Probabilities: Paris FC 42%, draw 27%, Rennes 31%.

How many goals are expected in Paris FC vs Rennes?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Paris FC 1.53 · Rennes 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Rennes?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.