Prediction: Gyeongju HNP vs Seosan Pioneer
Expected goals: 3.29 (Gyeongju HNP 2.65 · Seosan Pioneer 0.65). The model gives 81% home, 13% draw, 6% away. Under 3.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Gyeongju HNP sits at 2-5-3 (W-D-L), while Seosan Pioneer arrives on a 2-0-8 run.
| Gyeongju HNP | Draw | Seosan Pioneer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyeongju HNP (rating 1483 vs 1433).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gyeongju HNP | Seosan Pioneer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.2 | 1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gyeongju HNP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Seosan Pioneer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gyeongju HNP vs Seosan Pioneer?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyeongju HNP win (81%). Probabilities: Gyeongju HNP 81%, draw 13%, Seosan Pioneer 6%.
How many goals are expected in Gyeongju HNP vs Seosan Pioneer?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Gyeongju HNP 2.65 · Seosan Pioneer 0.65), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gyeongju HNP vs Seosan Pioneer?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.