Prediction: Tijuana vs Tigres UANL
| Tijuana | Draw | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 27% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tigres UANL: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tijuana | Tigres UANL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.7 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana 2–0–4 Tigres UANL
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 30/11/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Tijuana |
| 27/11/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 26/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tijuana |
| 29/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Tijuana |
| 02/11/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juarez FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tigres UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tijuana | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Necaxa | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Atlas | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | San Jose Earthquakes Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/03 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/03 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Tigres UANL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Toluca CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Nashville SC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Nashville SC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 16/04 | Seattle Sounders CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL win (43%). Probabilities: Tijuana 29%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 43%.
How many goals are expected in Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Tijuana 1.15 · Tigres UANL 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.