Prediction: Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis
| Tigres UANL | Draw | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (rating 1531 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL 4–1–1 Atletico San Luis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 09/11/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis |
| 12/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Tigres UANL |
| 02/12/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico San Luis |
| 29/11/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL |
| 14/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tigres UANL | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico San Luis |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Leon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Unam Pumas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL | Atletico San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Mazatlan FC | 5-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Toluca CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Nashville SC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Nashville SC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 16/04 | Seattle Sounders CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Atletico San Luis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/03 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL win (69%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL 69%, draw 20%, Atletico San Luis 12%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Tigres UANL 2.28 · Atletico San Luis 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.