Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara vs Juarez FC
| Chivas Guadalajara | Draw | Juarez FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara | Juarez FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 7 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara 3–2–1 Juarez FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 17/08/25 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Juarez FC |
| 16/03/25 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 01/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Juarez FC |
| 11/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Juarez FC |
| 19/08/23 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chivas Guadalajara |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Leon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Unam Pumas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara | Juarez FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tijuana | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Puebla | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chivas Guadalajara (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Correcaminos America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
Juarez FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Colorado Rapids Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/04 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/03 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 14/03 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara vs Juarez FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chivas Guadalajara win (56%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara 56%, draw 24%, Juarez FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara vs Juarez FC?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Chivas Guadalajara 1.89 · Juarez FC 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara vs Juarez FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.