Prediction: Pachuca vs Queretaro
| Pachuca | Draw | Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (rating 1563 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Queretaro: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca | Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 3.6 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.7 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca 1–3–2 Queretaro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pachuca |
| 21/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Queretaro |
| 30/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pachuca |
| 01/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Queretaro |
| 10/03/24 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Queretaro |
| 21/08/23 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pachuca |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Leon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Unam Pumas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pachuca | Queretaro |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cruz Azul | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Queretaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 16/03 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 08/03 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca vs Queretaro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca win (59%). Probabilities: Pachuca 59%, draw 25%, Queretaro 16%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca vs Queretaro?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Pachuca 1.63 · Queretaro 0.72), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca vs Queretaro?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.