Prediction: Necaxa vs Monterrey
| Necaxa | Draw | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Monterrey: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Necaxa | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa 0–0–6 Monterrey
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Monterrey |
| 24/08/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Necaxa |
| 02/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Necaxa |
| 18/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Monterrey |
| 29/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 2-5 HT 0-0 | Monterrey |
| 01/11/23 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Necaxa |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Leon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Unam Pumas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Necaxa | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Puebla | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Pachuca | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Necaxa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/03 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/03 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Monterrey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/03 | Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/03 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/03 | Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champions Cup |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Necaxa vs Monterrey?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monterrey win (42%). Probabilities: Necaxa 31%, draw 27%, Monterrey 42%.
How many goals are expected in Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Necaxa 1.36 · Monterrey 1.59), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Monterrey?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.