Football · Mexico Liga MX · 18/07, 05:00

Prediction: Juarez FC vs Puebla

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Juarez FC2.03
Puebla1.22
1X2
54% 24% 21%
Juarez FC Draw Puebla
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDDLLLWD
Puebla 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDLLLL
Head-to-head
Juarez FC 3–2–1 Puebla (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juarez FC 1473 · Puebla 1447
Juarez FCDrawPuebla
Our model55%23%22%
Market54%25%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Juarez FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Juarez FCPuebla
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.90.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.61.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.73.7 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC 321 Puebla

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Mexico Liga MX
Puebla1-1
HT 0-0
Juarez FC
25/10/25
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC4-4
HT 2-1
Puebla
30/03/25
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC2-0
HT 1-0
Puebla
28/09/24
Mexico Liga MX
Puebla2-3
HT 0-1
Juarez FC
24/03/24
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC4-3
HT 1-1
Puebla
26/08/23
Mexico Liga MX
Puebla1-0
HT 1-0
Juarez FC

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Atlante 000 000
1 Atlas 000 000
1 Atletico San Luis 000 000
1 Chivas Guadalajara 000 000
1 Club America 000 000
1 Cruz Azul 000 000
1 Monterrey 000 000
1 Pachuca 000 000
1 Leon 000 000
1 Necaxa 000 000
1 Puebla 000 000
1 Santos Laguna 000 000
1 Tijuana 000 000
1 Toluca 000 000
1 Juarez FC 000 000
1 Unam Pumas 000 000
1 Queretaro 000 000
1 Tigres UANL 000 000

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJuarez FCPuebla
Atletico San Luis 2-1 W 1-0 W
Leon 1-3 L 0-1 L
Queretaro 1-1 D 1-2 L
Tigres UANL 2-1 W 3-1 W
Monterrey 2-2 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juarez FC

LDWDDLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Colorado Rapids
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
26/04 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
2-1 2-1 41 W
22/04 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 2-4 17 L
19/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 1-3 81 L
11/04 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-2 55 L
08/04 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 64 D
04/04 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 93 D
23/03 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-1 78 W
14/03 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 2-2 64 D
09/03 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-3 45 L

Puebla

WWLDLDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/04 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-2 32 L
22/04 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 1-2 44 L
19/04 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-5 01 L
11/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 74 L
04/04 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 83 D
23/03 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-2 46 L
14/03 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 67 D
08/03 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-2 48 L
05/03 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 3-1 21 W
01/03 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juarez FC vs Puebla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juarez FC win (54%). Probabilities: Juarez FC 54%, draw 24%, Puebla 21%.

How many goals are expected in Juarez FC vs Puebla?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Juarez FC 2.03 · Puebla 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juarez FC vs Puebla?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.