Prediction: Monterrey vs Santos Laguna
| Monterrey | Draw | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Monterrey: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey 5–0–1 Santos Laguna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Monterrey |
| 28/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna |
| 03/03/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Santos Laguna |
| 15/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Monterrey |
| 22/01/24 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Monterrey |
| 09/11/23 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juarez FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tigres UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Pachuca | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Atlas | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico San Luis | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Monterrey (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/03 | Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champions Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/03 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/03 | Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champions Cup |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Santos Laguna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | America de Cali America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Annapolis Blues America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/03 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/03 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey win (59%). Probabilities: Monterrey 59%, draw 23%, Santos Laguna 18%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Monterrey 1.98 · Santos Laguna 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.