Prediction: Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana
- Tijuana1-1Atletico San Luis
- Atletico San Luis1-1Tijuana
- Tijuana2-1Atletico San Luis
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tijuana (rating 1455 vs 1582).
- H2H favours Tijuana: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico San Luis | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis 0–4–2 Tijuana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis |
| 15/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tijuana |
| 11/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico San Luis |
| 20/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tijuana |
| 18/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Tijuana |
| 09/10/23 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Unam Pumas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Leon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico San Luis | Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Juarez FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Leon | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Pachuca | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tijuana (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico San Luis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/03 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | San Jose Earthquakes Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico San Luis win (42%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis 42%, draw 28%, Tijuana 30%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Atletico San Luis 1.4 · Tijuana 1.16), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.