Football · Mexico Liga MX · 16/08, 03:00

Prediction: Monterrey vs Juarez FC

Team pages: Monterrey · Juarez FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Monterrey2.3
Juarez FC1.12
1X2
63% 21% 16%
Monterrey Draw Juarez FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Monterrey 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWLWLW
Juarez FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWDLLLWW
Head-to-head
Monterrey 4–1–1 Juarez FC (6 last)
  • Juarez FC2-2Monterrey
  • Monterrey4-2Juarez FC
  • Juarez FC2-1Monterrey
  • Monterrey3-2Juarez FC
  • Juarez FC0-3Monterrey
  • Monterrey3-1Juarez FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monterrey 1504 · Juarez FC 1465
MonterreyDrawJuarez FC
Our model63%21%16%
Market63%21%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Monterrey: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MonterreyJuarez FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.61.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.82.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.43 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey 411 Juarez FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC2-2
HT 0-2
Monterrey
22/10/25
Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey4-2
HT 2-0
Juarez FC
09/02/25
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC2-1
HT 1-0
Monterrey
19/09/24
Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey3-2
HT 1-0
Juarez FC
24/02/24
Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC0-3
HT 0-0
Monterrey
08/10/23
Mexico Liga MX
Monterrey3-1
HT 2-0
Juarez FC

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America 3210 517
2 Tijuana 3210 417
3 Toluca 3201 636
4 Unam Pumas 3201 756
5 Monterrey 3201 646
6 Cruz Azul 3201 766
7 Queretaro 3201 546
8 Necaxa 3201 556
9 Atlas 3201 446
10 Atlante 3111 554
11 Puebla 3111 334
12 Chivas Guadalajara 3111 234
13 Pachuca 3102 433
14 Leon 3102 343
15 Atletico San Luis 3021 452
16 Tigres UANL 3012 581
17 Santos Laguna 3003 270
18 Juarez FC 3003 170

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMonterreyJuarez FC
Puebla 2-1 W 0-1 L
Atletico San Luis 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monterrey

LDLWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Inter Miami CF
Leagues Cup
0-1 2-1 46 W
06/08 Orlando City SC
Leagues Cup
0-1 1-2 28 L
02/08 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 2-0 210 W
27/07 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-2 15 L
19/07 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
3-1 3-2 50 W
27/04 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-3 67 L
22/04 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
2-1 2-1 34 W
19/04 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-3 76 L
12/04 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 44 D
05/04 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-2 45 L

Juarez FC

LLLWDLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Vancouver Whitecaps
Leagues Cup
1-1 3-1 14 W
05/08 Minnesota United
Leagues Cup
2-1 2-1 24 W
01/08 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
1-3 1-5 23 L
26/07 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/07 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-1 53 L
10/07 Colorado Rapids
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
26/04 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
2-1 2-1 41 W
22/04 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 2-4 17 L
19/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 1-3 81 L
11/04 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-2 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monterrey vs Juarez FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey win (63%). Probabilities: Monterrey 63%, draw 21%, Juarez FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Monterrey vs Juarez FC?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Monterrey 2.3 · Juarez FC 1.12), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Juarez FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.