Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana
Team pages: Chivas Guadalajara · Tijuana
- Chivas Guadalajara0-0Tijuana
- Tijuana3-3Chivas Guadalajara
- Chivas Guadalajara2-1Tijuana
- Tijuana4-2Chivas Guadalajara
- Tijuana1-1Chivas Guadalajara
- Chivas Guadalajara1-0Tijuana
| Chivas Guadalajara | Draw | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 9 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara 2–3–1 Tijuana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tijuana |
| 23/08/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 10/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Tijuana |
| 13/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 27/01/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara |
| 23/08/23 Mexico Liga MX | Chivas Guadalajara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tijuana |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Unam Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Chivas Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara | Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Tigres UANL | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tijuana (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Seattle Sounders Leagues Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Dallas Leagues Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Los Angeles FC Leagues Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 26/07 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 19 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Correcaminos America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Portland Timbers Leagues Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | San Diego FC Leagues Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Austin FC Leagues Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | San Jose Earthquakes Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chivas Guadalajara win (60%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara 60%, draw 24%, Tijuana 16%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Chivas Guadalajara 1.73 · Tijuana 0.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.