Prediction: Unam Pumas vs Necaxa
Team pages: Unam Pumas · Necaxa
- Necaxa0-1Unam Pumas
- Unam Pumas1-1Necaxa
- Unam Pumas2-1Necaxa
- Necaxa2-0Unam Pumas
- Unam Pumas2-2Necaxa
- Necaxa1-0Unam Pumas
| Unam Pumas | Draw | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unam Pumas (rating 1518 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Unam Pumas | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.2 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Unam Pumas 2–2–2 Necaxa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas |
| 11/08/25 Mexico Liga MX | Unam Pumas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Necaxa |
| 12/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Unam Pumas | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Necaxa |
| 14/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas |
| 01/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Unam Pumas | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Necaxa |
| 28/10/23 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Unam Pumas |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Unam Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Puebla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Chivas Guadalajara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Unam Pumas | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Queretaro | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Toluca | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Cruz Azul | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Unam Pumas (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Unam Pumas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
3-1 | 5-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
3-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
Necaxa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Unam Pumas vs Necaxa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Unam Pumas win (49%). Probabilities: Unam Pumas 49%, draw 26%, Necaxa 25%.
How many goals are expected in Unam Pumas vs Necaxa?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Unam Pumas 1.64 · Necaxa 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Unam Pumas vs Necaxa?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.