Prediction: Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
Team pages: Atletico San Luis · Pachuca
- Atletico San Luis1-1Pachuca
- Pachuca2-1Atletico San Luis
- Atletico San Luis2-1Pachuca
- Pachuca2-0Atletico San Luis
- Atletico San Luis2-1Pachuca
- Pachuca0-2Atletico San Luis
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (rating 1441 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Atletico San Luis: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico San Luis | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis 3–1–2 Pachuca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pachuca |
| 28/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Atletico San Luis |
| 21/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Pachuca |
| 17/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis |
| 18/03/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pachuca |
| 29/08/23 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico San Luis |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Unam Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Puebla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Chivas Guadalajara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico San Luis | Pachuca |
|---|---|---|
| Tijuana | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Unam Pumas | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Toluca | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Leon | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico San Luis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Pachuca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pachuca win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis 28%, draw 28%, Pachuca 44%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Atletico San Luis 1.17 · Pachuca 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.