Football · Mexico Liga MX · 16/08, 05:00

Prediction: Atlas vs Tigres UANL

Team pages: Atlas · Tigres UANL

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Atlas0.99
Tigres UANL1.25
1X2
29% 30% 42%
Atlas Draw Tigres UANL
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atlas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WDWLLWWLLL
Tigres UANL 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDLDLDD
Head-to-head
Atlas 1–3–2 Tigres UANL (6 last)
  • Atlas0-0Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL2-0Atlas
  • Tigres UANL2-1Atlas
  • Atlas1-1Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL1-1Atlas
  • Atlas2-0Tigres UANL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlas 1476 · Tigres UANL 1502
AtlasDrawTigres UANL
Our model28%31%41%
Market29%28%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tigres UANL: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AtlasTigres UANL
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.31.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.53.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.54.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas 132 Tigres UANL

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/04/26
Mexico Liga MX
Atlas0-0
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
25/09/25
Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL2-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
09/02/25
Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL2-1
HT 1-1
Atlas
13/07/24
Mexico Liga MX
Atlas1-1
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
25/02/24
Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL1-1
HT 1-0
Atlas
18/09/23
Mexico Liga MX
Atlas2-0
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America 3210 517
2 Tijuana 3210 417
3 Toluca 3201 636
4 Unam Pumas 3201 756
5 Monterrey 3201 646
6 Cruz Azul 3201 766
7 Queretaro 3201 546
8 Necaxa 3201 556
9 Atlas 3201 446
10 Atlante 3111 554
11 Puebla 3111 334
12 Chivas Guadalajara 3111 234
13 Pachuca 3102 433
14 Leon 3102 343
15 Atletico San Luis 3021 452
16 Tigres UANL 3012 581
17 Santos Laguna 3003 270
18 Juarez FC 3003 170

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlas

WDWLLWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Charlotte FC
Leagues Cup
0-0 0-2 86 L
05/08 Columbus Crew
Leagues Cup
0-2 1-3 53 L
02/08 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-2 610 L
26/07 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 52 W
18/07 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 3-2 25 W
10/05 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-1 62 L
03/05 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-3 25 L
26/04 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 23 W
23/04 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 55 D
20/04 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-0 48 W

Tigres UANL

WWWLDLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Minnesota United
Leagues Cup
0-0 0-0 114 D
05/08 Real Salt Lake
Leagues Cup
1-1 1-1 43 D
02/08 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 2-3 119 L
26/07 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-2 93 D
17/07 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-3 47 L
31/05 Toluca
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 0-0 73 D
10/05 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 15 L
06/05 Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 1-0 63 W
03/05 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 3-1 45 W
29/04 Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
1-0 1-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlas vs Tigres UANL?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL win (42%). Probabilities: Atlas 29%, draw 30%, Tigres UANL 42%.

How many goals are expected in Atlas vs Tigres UANL?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Atlas 0.99 · Tigres UANL 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlas vs Tigres UANL?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.