Football · Mexico Liga MX · 16/08, 20:00

Prediction: Unam Pumas vs Queretaro

Team pages: Unam Pumas · Queretaro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Unam Pumas1.76
Queretaro1.14
1X2
51% 26% 23%
Unam Pumas Draw Queretaro
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Unam Pumas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWLLWWLL
Queretaro 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDDWLWWLL
Head-to-head
Unam Pumas 3–2–1 Queretaro (6 last)
  • Unam Pumas1-1Queretaro
  • Queretaro0-2Unam Pumas
  • Queretaro3-2Unam Pumas
  • Unam Pumas2-0Queretaro
  • Queretaro1-1Unam Pumas
  • Unam Pumas4-0Queretaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unam Pumas 1510 · Queretaro 1506
Unam PumasDrawQueretaro
Our model51%26%23%
Market51%26%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Unam Pumas: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Unam PumasQueretaro
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.31.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.23.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.24.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Unam Pumas 321 Queretaro

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Mexico Liga MX
Unam Pumas1-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
26/07/25
Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro0-2
HT 0-1
Unam Pumas
20/01/25
Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro3-2
HT 1-1
Unam Pumas
06/11/24
Mexico Liga MX
Unam Pumas2-0
HT 1-0
Queretaro
27/04/24
Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro1-1
HT 0-0
Unam Pumas
05/10/23
Mexico Liga MX
Unam Pumas4-0
HT 2-0
Queretaro

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America 3210 517
2 Tijuana 3210 417
3 Toluca 3201 636
4 Unam Pumas 3201 756
5 Monterrey 3201 646
6 Cruz Azul 3201 766
7 Queretaro 3201 546
8 Necaxa 3201 556
9 Atlas 3201 446
10 Atlante 3111 554
11 Puebla 3111 334
12 Chivas Guadalajara 3111 234
13 Pachuca 3102 433
14 Leon 3102 343
15 Atletico San Luis 3021 452
16 Tigres UANL 3012 581
17 Santos Laguna 3003 270
18 Juarez FC 3003 170

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnam PumasQueretaro
Juarez FC 5-1 W 1-1 D
Pachuca 0-3 L 2-1 W
Cruz Azul 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Queretaro (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unam Pumas

WDLWLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 FC Cincinnati
Leagues Cup
0-1 0-2 61 L
05/08 Charlotte FC
Leagues Cup
0-1 0-3 53 L
01/08 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
3-1 5-1 03 W
22/07 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-1 12 W
19/07 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-3 91 L
12/07 America de Cali
America Friendlies
0-1 0-1 61 L
05/07 Cancun FC
America Friendlies
1-0 3-0 46 W
25/05 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-2 73 L
22/05 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 14 D
18/05 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 33 W

Queretaro

DWDDWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Seattle Sounders
Leagues Cup
0-2 0-3 41 L
06/08 FC Dallas
Leagues Cup
0-0 0-2 76 L
02/08 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
2-1 3-2 69 W
27/07 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-1 65 W
19/07 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 210 L
25/04 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-1 122 W
22/04 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-1 24 D
18/04 Mazatlan FC
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-1 93 D
12/04 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 3-1 45 W
08/04 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 94 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unam Pumas vs Queretaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unam Pumas win (51%). Probabilities: Unam Pumas 51%, draw 26%, Queretaro 23%.

How many goals are expected in Unam Pumas vs Queretaro?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Unam Pumas 1.76 · Queretaro 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Unam Pumas vs Queretaro?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.