Football · Mexico Liga MX · 17/08, 01:00

Prediction: Club America vs Atletico San Luis

Team pages: Club America · Atletico San Luis

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Club America1.96
Atletico San Luis0.95
1X2
60% 23% 17%
Club America Draw Atletico San Luis
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club America 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWLWDWWW
Atletico San Luis 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWLLDDLL
Head-to-head
Club America 3–3 Atletico San Luis (6 last)
  • Club America0-2Atletico San Luis
  • Atletico San Luis0-1Club America
  • Club America3-0Atletico San Luis
  • Atletico San Luis2-1Club America
  • Club America2-1Atletico San Luis
  • Club America0-2Atletico San Luis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club America 1548 · Atletico San Luis 1467
Club AmericaDrawAtletico San Luis
Our model60%23%17%
Market60%23%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (rating 1548 vs 1467).
  • High corners: 13 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.11.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 7.92.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America 303 Atletico San Luis

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/01/26
Mexico Liga MX
Club America0-2
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
25/09/25
Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis0-1
HT 0-0
Club America
29/01/25
Mexico Liga MX
Club America3-0
HT 2-0
Atletico San Luis
07/07/24
Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis2-1
HT 1-1
Club America
30/03/24
Mexico Liga MX
Club America2-1
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
10/12/23
Mexico Liga MX
Club America0-2
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America 3210 517
2 Tijuana 3210 417
3 Toluca 3201 636
4 Unam Pumas 3201 756
5 Monterrey 3201 646
6 Cruz Azul 3201 766
7 Queretaro 3201 546
8 Necaxa 3201 556
9 Atlas 3201 446
10 Atlante 3111 554
11 Puebla 3111 334
12 Chivas Guadalajara 3111 234
13 Pachuca 3102 433
14 Leon 3102 343
15 Atletico San Luis 3021 452
16 Tigres UANL 3012 581
17 Santos Laguna 3003 270
18 Juarez FC 3003 170

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub AmericaAtletico San Luis
Santos Laguna 3-0 W 2-0 W
Unam Pumas 3-3 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club America

LDDWLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Portland Timbers
Leagues Cup
1-1 3-1 58 W
07/08 San Diego FC
Leagues Cup
3-0 3-1 72 W
03/08 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 3-0 41 W
25/07 Atlante
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-1 94 D
19/07 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 1210 W
12/07 LA Galaxy
America Friendlies
0-1 0-1 73 L
05/07 Jaiba Brava
America Friendlies
1-0 2-0 70 W
11/05 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
2-3 3-3 164 D
04/05 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 3-3 72 D
26/04 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 53 L

Atletico San Luis

WDLWLLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Nashville SC
Leagues Cup
1-3 1-4 34 L
06/08 Inter Miami CF
Leagues Cup
1-4 2-4 71 L
01/08 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 53 D
26/07 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-2 33 D
18/07 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 2-3 43 L
26/04 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 1-2 41 L
23/04 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 2-0 75 W
18/04 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-2 84 L
13/04 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 14 D
05/04 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-1 95 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America win (60%). Probabilities: Club America 60%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 17%.

How many goals are expected in Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Club America 1.96 · Atletico San Luis 0.95), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club America vs Atletico San Luis?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.