Football · Mexico Liga MX · 22/08, 05:00
Prediction: Juarez FC vs Club America
Team pages: Juarez FC · Club America
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Juarez FC1.28
Club America1.86
1X2
Juarez FC
Draw
Club America
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Club America
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juarez FC
1–2–3
Club America
(6 last)
- Club America1-2Juarez FC
- Juarez FC1-1Club America
- Club America4-0Juarez FC
- Juarez FC1-2Club America
- Juarez FC1-1Club America
- Juarez FC0-2Club America
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juarez FC 1464 · Club America 1557
| Juarez FC | Draw | Club America | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (rating 1464 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Club America: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juarez FC | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 3.5 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC 1–2–3 Club America
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Juarez FC |
| 12/07/25 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Club America |
| 02/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Juarez FC |
| 21/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Club America |
| 24/06/24 Club Friendly List | Juarez FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Club America |
| 25/01/24 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Club America |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Unam Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Chivas Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juarez FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-4 | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12/08 | Real Salt Lake Leagues Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps Leagues Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | Minnesota United Leagues Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Colorado Rapids Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
Club America
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Austin FC Leagues Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | Portland Timbers Leagues Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 07/08 | San Diego FC Leagues Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 10 | W |
| 12/07 | LA Galaxy America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Jaiba Brava America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-3 | 3-3 | 16 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juarez FC vs Club America?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America win (50%). Probabilities: Juarez FC 25%, draw 25%, Club America 50%.
How many goals are expected in Juarez FC vs Club America?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Juarez FC 1.28 · Club America 1.86), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Juarez FC vs Club America?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.