Prediction: Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
Team pages: Monterrey · Atletico San Luis
- Monterrey1-2Atletico San Luis
- Atletico San Luis0-1Monterrey
- Monterrey3-1Atletico San Luis
- Monterrey5-1Atletico San Luis
- Atletico San Luis2-1Monterrey
- Atletico San Luis1-0Monterrey
| Monterrey | Draw | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 22% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monterrey (rating 1519 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey 3–0–3 Atletico San Luis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis |
| 19/07/25 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Monterrey |
| 23/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico San Luis |
| 08/12/24 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 5-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico San Luis |
| 05/12/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Monterrey |
| 06/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atletico San Luis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Monterrey |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Chivas Guadalajara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Unam Pumas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey | Atletico San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC | 6-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Santos Laguna | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Pachuca | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico San Luis (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
4-1 | 6-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 27/07 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Atletico San Luis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey win (63%). Probabilities: Monterrey 63%, draw 22%, Atletico San Luis 15%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Monterrey 2.18 · Atletico San Luis 1), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.