Football · Mexico Liga MX · 30/08, 03:00

Prediction: Club America vs Puebla

Team pages: Club America · Puebla

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Club America2.48
Puebla1.07
1X2
67% 19% 14%
Club America Draw Puebla
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Club America 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWLDDWDWWW
Puebla 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWLDWW
Head-to-head
Club America 5–1 Puebla (6 last)
  • Puebla0-4Club America
  • Club America2-1Puebla
  • Club America2-1Puebla
  • Puebla1-2Club America
  • Club America0-1Puebla
  • Puebla1-2Club America
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club America 1602 · Puebla 1436
Club AmericaDrawPuebla
Our model67%19%14%
Market67%20%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (rating 1602 vs 1436).
  • H2H favours Club America: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club AmericaPuebla
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.21.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 7.81.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.31.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America 501 Puebla

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Mexico Liga MX
Puebla0-4
HT 0-1
Club America
22/10/25
Mexico Liga MX
Club America2-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
03/07/25
America Friendlies
Club America2-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
08/02/25
Mexico Liga MX
Puebla1-2
HT 0-2
Club America
25/08/24
Mexico Liga MX
Club America0-1
HT 0-0
Puebla
27/04/24
Mexico Liga MX
Puebla1-2
HT 1-2
Club America

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America 5410 10213
2 Atlas 5401 8512
3 Toluca 5311 8410
4 Chivas Guadalajara 5311 8510
5 Puebla 5311 9710
6 Tijuana 5311 8710
7 Monterrey 5302 1279
8 Leon 5302 759
9 Unam Pumas 4211 757
10 Queretaro 5212 667
11 Necaxa 4202 676
12 Cruz Azul 5203 8106
13 Atlante 5122 575
14 Tigres UANL 5113 8104
15 Pachuca 4103 663
16 Atletico San Luis 4022 482
17 Santos Laguna 5005 4110
18 Juarez FC 5005 3150

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub AmericaPuebla
Juarez FC 2-1 W 1-0 W
Santos Laguna 3-0 W 3-2 W
Queretaro 1-0 W 1-2 L
Leon 3-2 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club America

WWLDDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-1 75 W
17/08 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 3-0 104 W
03/08 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 3-0 41 W
25/07 Atlante
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-1 94 D
19/07 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 1210 W
11/05 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
2-3 3-3 164 D
04/05 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 3-3 72 D
26/04 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 53 L
22/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
2-2 3-2 32 W
19/04 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 2-1 54 W

Puebla

DLLLLWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 3-2 61 W
18/08 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
2-1 3-2 30 W
01/08 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-1 10 D
22/07 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-2 35 L
18/07 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-0 73 W
25/04 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-2 32 L
22/04 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 1-2 44 L
19/04 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-5 01 L
11/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 74 L
04/04 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 83 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club America vs Puebla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America win (67%). Probabilities: Club America 67%, draw 19%, Puebla 14%.

How many goals are expected in Club America vs Puebla?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Club America 2.48 · Puebla 1.07), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club America vs Puebla?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.