Football · Mexico Liga MX · 30/08, 01:00
Prediction: Atlas vs Queretaro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Atlas1.44
Queretaro0.79
1X2
Atlas
Draw
Queretaro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atlas
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Queretaro
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlas
2–2–2
Queretaro
(6 last)
- Atlas0-0Queretaro
- Queretaro3-3Atlas
- Queretaro1-2Atlas
- Atlas0-1Queretaro
- Atlas2-3Queretaro
- Queretaro1-2Atlas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlas (rating 1532 vs 1490).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlas | Queretaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.6 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas 2–2–2 Queretaro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Atlas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro |
| 18/08/25 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Atlas |
| 17/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Atlas |
| 21/09/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atlas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Queretaro |
| 01/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Atlas | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Queretaro |
| 31/08/23 Mexico Liga MX | Queretaro | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Atlas |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Chivas Guadalajara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Unam Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlas | Queretaro |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tigres UANL | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Club America | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlas (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 26/07 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Queretaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/04 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Mazatlan FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlas vs Queretaro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlas win (51%). Probabilities: Atlas 51%, draw 29%, Queretaro 19%.
How many goals are expected in Atlas vs Queretaro?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Atlas 1.44 · Queretaro 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlas vs Queretaro?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.