Football · Mexico Liga MX · 22/08, 03:00

Prediction: Tigres UANL vs Atlante

Team pages: Tigres UANL

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Tigres UANL2.07
Atlante0.72
1X2
68% 20% 11%
Tigres UANL Draw Atlante
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
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Atlante 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigres UANL 1463 · Atlante 1489
Tigres UANLDrawAtlante
Our model68%21%11%
Market69%20%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tigres UANLAtlante
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 7.12.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.54.1 / 0

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America 4310 8110
2 Monterrey 4301 1259
3 Atlas 4301 659
4 Toluca 4211 637
5 Tijuana 3210 417
6 Unam Pumas 4211 757
7 Queretaro 4211 547
8 Cruz Azul 3201 766
9 Necaxa 3201 556
10 Atlante 4121 555
11 Puebla 3111 334
12 Chivas Guadalajara 3111 234
13 Pachuca 3102 433
14 Leon 3102 343
15 Atletico San Luis 4022 482
16 Tigres UANL 4013 6101
17 Santos Laguna 3003 270
18 Juarez FC 4004 2130

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTigres UANLAtlante
Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 D 1-0 W
Minnesota United 0-0 D 1-3 L
Real Salt Lake 1-1 D 0-4 L
Toluca 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigres UANL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-2 164 L
12/08 Vancouver Whitecaps
Leagues Cup
1-0 1-1 26 D
08/08 Minnesota United
Leagues Cup
0-0 0-0 114 D
05/08 Real Salt Lake
Leagues Cup
1-1 1-1 43 D
02/08 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 2-3 119 L
26/07 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-2 93 D
17/07 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-3 47 L
31/05 Toluca
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 0-0 73 D
10/05 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 15 L
06/05 Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 1-0 63 W

Atlante

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 82 D
12/08 Minnesota United
Leagues Cup
1-0 1-3 55 L
09/08 Real Salt Lake
Leagues Cup
0-1 0-4 64 L
05/08 Vancouver Whitecaps
Leagues Cup
1-0 1-0 21 W
02/08 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 3-2 53 W
25/07 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-1 24 D
17/07 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-2 53 L
02/07 New Mexico United
Club Friendly List
1-2 3-3 D
27/04 Tepatitlan FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
0-0 0-2 110 L
24/04 Tepatitlan FC
Mexico Liga de Expansion
1-0 2-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL vs Atlante?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL win (68%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL 68%, draw 20%, Atlante 11%.

How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL vs Atlante?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Tigres UANL 2.07 · Atlante 0.72), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs Atlante?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.