Football · Mexico Liga MX · 17/10, 05:00

Prediction: Atlante vs Unam Pumas

Team pages: Atlante · Unam Pumas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Atlante1.56

Unam Pumas1.24

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Atlante Draw Unam Pumas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlante 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDDLDWL

Unam Pumas 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLWLDL

Head-to-head

Atlante 0–1–1 Unam Pumas (2 last)

Atlante2-3Unam Pumas
Unam Pumas1-1Atlante

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlante	Unam Pumas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.31 → 2.31	Pinn 2.31
X	3.43 → 3.43	Pinn 3.43
2	2.98 → 2.98	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:28 +39’	2.31	3.43	2.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlante 0–1–1 Unam Pumas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/08/14 Mexico Cup	Atlante	2-3 HT 1-3	Unam Pumas
31/07/14 Mexico Cup	Unam Pumas	1-1 HT 1-1	Atlante

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22	11	21
2	Toluca	11	6	2	3	25	15	20
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15	8	20
4	Chivas Guadalajara	11	5	4	2	18	11	19
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17	18	18
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19	18	16
8	Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15	14	15
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12	13	15
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13	15	13
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15	11	12
13	Unam Pumas	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
14	Atletico San Luis	10	3	3	4	14	18	12
15	Atlante	11	2	5	4	12	17	11
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10	15	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12	20	8
18	Juarez FC	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlante	Unam Pumas
Queretaro	0-2 L	0-0 D
Pachuca	0-3 L	0-3 L
Atlas	1-1 D	1-1 D
Leon	1-1 D	3-1 W
Toluca	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Unam Pumas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlante

DWDLDDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
26/09	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-1	4-2	2	3	W
19/09	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	11	1	D
12/09	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-3	0-3	5	6	L
06/09	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
29/08	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
22/08	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
16/08	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
02/08	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-2	5	3	W
25/07	Club America Mexico Liga MX	0-1	1-1	2	4	D

Unam Pumas

LWWDDLWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	0-1	2-3	11	3	L
20/09	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
14/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
11/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
29/08	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
24/08	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
16/08	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
01/08	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	3-1	5-1	0	3	W
22/07	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-1	2-1	1	2	W
19/07	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-2	0-3	9	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlante vs Unam Pumas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlante win (44%). Probabilities: Atlante 44%, draw 27%, Unam Pumas 29%.

How many goals are expected in Atlante vs Unam Pumas?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Atlante 1.56 · Unam Pumas 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlante vs Unam Pumas?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.