Football · Mexico Liga MX · 18/10, 01:00

Prediction: Santos Laguna vs Queretaro

Team pages: Santos Laguna · Queretaro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Santos Laguna1.38

Queretaro1.38

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Santos Laguna Draw Queretaro

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Santos Laguna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLWWW

Queretaro 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Santos Laguna 2–1–3 Queretaro (6 last)

Queretaro2-2Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna3-1Queretaro
Santos Laguna1-2Queretaro
Queretaro3-2Santos Laguna
Queretaro0-1Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna0-2Queretaro

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queretaro (rating 1482 vs 1537).
H2H favours Queretaro: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santos Laguna	Queretaro
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.7	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.42 → 2.42	Pinn 2.42
X	3.47 → 3.47	Pinn 3.47
2	2.78 → 2.78	Pinn 2.78

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +5’	2.42	3.47	2.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna 2–1–3 Queretaro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	2-2 HT 2-2	Santos Laguna
27/10/25 Mexico Liga MX	Santos Laguna	3-1 HT 2-0	Queretaro
14/04/25 Mexico Liga MX	Santos Laguna	1-2 HT 1-0	Queretaro
09/11/24 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	3-2 HT 1-1	Santos Laguna
02/03/24 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	0-1 HT 0-0	Santos Laguna
03/07/23 Mexico Liga MX	Santos Laguna	0-2 HT 0-0	Queretaro

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22	11	21
2	Toluca	11	6	2	3	25	15	20
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15	8	20
4	Chivas Guadalajara	11	5	4	2	18	11	19
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17	18	18
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19	18	16
8	Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15	14	15
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12	13	15
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13	15	13
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15	11	12
13	Unam Pumas	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
14	Atletico San Luis	10	3	3	4	14	18	12
15	Atlante	11	2	5	4	12	17	11
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10	15	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12	20	8
18	Juarez FC	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santos Laguna	Queretaro
Pachuca	1-0 W	2-1 W
Toluca	3-2 W	1-2 L
Tigres UANL	0-0 D	3-2 W
Chivas Guadalajara	0-1 L	2-0 W
Club America	0-3 L	0-1 L
Atlas	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queretaro (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santos Laguna

LLLLLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-0	10	5	W
21/09	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
14/09	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-1	12	8	W
07/09	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
30/08	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
23/08	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-3	6	1	L
17/08	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
03/08	Club America Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-3	11	1	L
26/07	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
19/07	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-3	2-3	5	0	L

Queretaro

LWWDLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
27/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
21/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
12/09	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
30/08	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
16/08	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
02/08	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	2-1	3-2	6	9	W
27/07	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
19/07	Club America Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna vs Queretaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santos Laguna win (36%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna 36%, draw 28%, Queretaro 36%.

How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna vs Queretaro?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Santos Laguna 1.38 · Queretaro 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Queretaro?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.