Football · Mexico Liga MX · 18/10, 03:00

Prediction: Leon vs Club America

Team pages: Leon · Club America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Leon1.44

Club America1.22

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Leon Draw Club America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Leon 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLWDWD

Club America 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLDWD

Head-to-head

Leon 1–2–3 Club America (6 last)

Leon1-0Club America
Leon2-3Club America
Club America2-0Leon
Club America1-1Leon
Leon1-1Club America
Leon0-1Club America

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club America: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leon	Club America
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	3.1 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.87

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.22 → 3.22	Pinn 3.22
X	3.42 → 3.42	Pinn 3.42
2	2.24 → 2.24	Pinn 2.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +424’	3.22	3.42	2.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leon 1–2–3 Club America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/26 Leagues Cup	Leon	1-0 HT 0-0	Club America
22/04/26 Mexico Liga MX	Leon	2-3 HT 2-2	Club America
02/11/25 Mexico Liga MX	Club America	2-0 HT 0-0	Leon
20/02/25 Mexico Liga MX	Club America	1-1 HT 1-1	Leon
06/10/24 Mexico Liga MX	Leon	1-1 HT 1-0	Club America
11/02/24 Mexico Liga MX	Leon	0-1 HT 0-0	Club America

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22	11	21
2	Toluca	11	6	2	3	25	15	20
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15	8	20
4	Chivas Guadalajara	11	5	4	2	18	11	19
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17	18	18
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19	18	16
8	Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15	14	15
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12	13	15
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13	15	13
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15	11	12
13	Unam Pumas	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
14	Atletico San Luis	10	3	3	4	14	18	12
15	Atlante	11	2	5	4	12	17	11
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10	15	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12	20	8
18	Juarez FC	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leon	Club America
Puebla	1-1 D	2-0 W
Juarez FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Queretaro	1-1 D	1-0 W
Atletico San Luis	2-0 W	3-0 W
Atlante	1-1 D	1-1 D
Monterrey	2-0 W	1-1 D
Necaxa	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leon

LWWWDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
28/09	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
21/09	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
15/09	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
11/09	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	0-1	1-3	2	3	L
29/08	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
22/08	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
18/08	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
02/08	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-0	3	12	W
25/07	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	10	2	L

Club America

WDWWWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
28/09	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	2-2	4-2	5	5	W
20/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
13/09	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	0-3	3-4	9	7	L
30/08	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
22/08	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
17/08	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
03/08	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
25/07	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
19/07	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-0	12	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leon vs Club America?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leon win (41%). Probabilities: Leon 41%, draw 28%, Club America 31%.

How many goals are expected in Leon vs Club America?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Leon 1.44 · Club America 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leon vs Club America?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.