Football · Mexico Liga MX · 21/10, 03:00

Prediction: Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro

Team pages: Atletico San Luis · Queretaro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Atletico San Luis1.55

Queretaro1.3

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Atletico San Luis Draw Queretaro

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico San Luis 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLWWLD

Queretaro 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDWWL

Head-to-head

Atletico San Luis 3–3 Queretaro (6 last)

Atletico San Luis3-0Queretaro
Queretaro3-2Atletico San Luis
Queretaro1-0Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis4-0Queretaro
Queretaro4-1Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis4-1Queretaro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico San Luis 1499 · Queretaro 1537

	Atletico San Luis	Draw	Queretaro
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico San Luis	Queretaro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.9	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

23.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.11 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +17’	2.20	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +8’	2.16	3.49	3.22
04:16 +3’	2.18▲	3.53▲	3.25▲
09:26 +53’	2.25▲	3.50▼	3.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis 3–0–3 Queretaro

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Mexico Liga MX	Atletico San Luis	3-0 HT 1-0	Queretaro
23/08/25 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	3-2 HT 1-1	Atletico San Luis
08/02/25 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	1-0 HT 1-0	Atletico San Luis
19/08/24 Mexico Liga MX	Atletico San Luis	4-0 HT 2-0	Queretaro
28/02/24 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	4-1 HT 2-0	Atletico San Luis
16/07/23 Mexico Liga MX	Atletico San Luis	4-1 HT 2-1	Queretaro

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	11	7	3	1	27	14	24
2	Toluca	12	6	3	3	26	16	21
3	Atlas	12	6	3	3	19	18	21
4	Chivas Guadalajara	12	5	5	2	19	12	20
5	Queretaro	11	6	2	3	15	13	20
6	Leon	12	5	3	4	18	17	18
7	Cruz Azul	11	5	2	4	22	21	17
8	Santos Laguna	12	5	1	6	17	16	16
9	Tijuana	11	4	4	3	15	14	16
10	Unam Pumas	12	4	4	4	19	20	16
11	Puebla	12	4	4	4	12	13	16
12	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
13	Tigres UANL	12	3	5	4	14	16	14
14	Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18	14	13
15	Atletico San Luis	12	3	4	5	16	21	13
16	Atlante	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	Necaxa	12	2	3	7	15	25	9
18	Juarez FC	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico San Luis	Queretaro
Toluca	1-1 D	1-2 L
Santos Laguna	1-2 L	0-5 L
Unam Pumas	3-2 W	0-0 D
Leon	0-2 L	1-1 D
Chivas Guadalajara	0-3 L	2-0 W
Pachuca	1-1 D	2-1 W
Tijuana	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queretaro (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico San Luis

DLDWLLWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
12/10	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
27/09	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-2	2	3	W
20/09	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
15/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
06/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
31/08	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
24/08	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
17/08	Club America Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
01/08	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Queretaro

WWDLWWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	0-2	0-5	2	2	L
11/10	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
27/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
21/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
12/09	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
30/08	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
16/08	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
02/08	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	2-1	3-2	6	9	W
27/07	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-1	2-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico San Luis win (42%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis 42%, draw 27%, Queretaro 31%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Atletico San Luis 1.55 · Queretaro 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.