Football · Mexico Liga MX · 31/10, 02:00

Prediction: Atletico San Luis vs Atlas

Team pages: Atletico San Luis · Atlas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Atletico San Luis1.7

Atlas1.76

1X2

36% 26% 38%

Atletico San Luis Draw Atlas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico San Luis 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLDWW

Atlas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWDWLW

Head-to-head

Atletico San Luis 3–3 Atlas (6 last)

Atlas3-2Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis2-0Atlas
Atlas3-1Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis2-1Atlas
Atlas2-1Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis2-0Atlas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico San Luis 1511 · Atlas 1514

	Atletico San Luis	Draw	Atlas
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico San Luis	Atlas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.6	2.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.60 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +3’	2.63	3.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +24’	2.65	3.48	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis 3–0–3 Atlas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Mexico Liga MX	Atlas	3-2 HT 1-2	Atletico San Luis
18/10/25 Mexico Liga MX	Atletico San Luis	2-0 HT 2-0	Atlas
03/03/25 Mexico Liga MX	Atlas	3-1 HT 0-1	Atletico San Luis
31/08/24 Mexico Liga MX	Atletico San Luis	2-1 HT 1-0	Atlas
15/04/24 Mexico Liga MX	Atlas	2-1 HT 1-1	Atletico San Luis
04/09/23 Mexico Liga MX	Atletico San Luis	2-0 HT 1-0	Atlas

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	13	8	3	2	33	18	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	8	2	4	32	23	26
3	Chivas Guadalajara	14	7	5	2	21	12	26
4	Atlas	14	7	3	4	25	26	24
5	Toluca	14	6	5	3	29	19	23
6	Leon	14	6	4	4	21	18	22
7	Monterrey	13	6	2	5	23	18	20
8	Tijuana	13	5	5	3	21	17	20
9	Queretaro	13	6	2	5	17	18	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20	20	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	5	4	5	19	22	19
12	Unam Pumas	14	4	5	5	20	23	17
13	Pachuca	14	4	4	6	22	19	16
14	Puebla	14	4	4	6	16	21	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	3	6	5	15	19	15
16	Atlante	14	3	5	6	14	20	14
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16	27	10
18	Juarez FC	14	1	2	11	9	33	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico San Luis	Atlas
Atlante	1-0 W	1-1 D
Queretaro	2-1 W	1-3 L
Toluca	1-1 D	2-5 L
Unam Pumas	3-2 W	1-1 D
Necaxa	3-1 W	2-0 W
Chivas Guadalajara	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico San Luis (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico San Luis

DWLLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
21/10	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-1	5	0	W
18/10	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
12/10	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
27/09	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-2	2	3	W
20/09	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
15/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
06/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
31/08	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
24/08	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	1	3	D

Atlas

WLDLDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-1	4-3	7	3	W
22/10	Club America Mexico Liga MX	0-2	2-5	10	3	L
17/10	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
11/10	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	7	8	D
26/09	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	1-2	3-2	11	4	W
20/09	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
13/09	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-3	2-5	8	4	L
06/09	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	2-0	2-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis vs Atlas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlas win (38%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 26%, Atlas 38%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis vs Atlas?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Atletico San Luis 1.7 · Atlas 1.76), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis vs Atlas?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.